Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Niang A.
45' Event
Fanne M.
60' Event
Kassama A.

AI Match Summary

Guediawaye in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guediawaye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Guediawaye
15%
Draws
51%
Diambars de Saly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diambars de Saly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Diambars de Saly haven't matched Guediawaye's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guediawaye a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 68%
Diambars de Saly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guediawaye Diambars de Saly
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Guediawaye
2:1
Jan 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly
2:1
Aug 6, 2023 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Guediawaye
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly
2:0
Apr 3, 2022 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Diambars de Saly
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guediawaye Compare

Top Goalscorer Fanne M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kassama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Diambars de Saly Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guediawaye 86 / 100
Diambars de Saly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guediawaye Diambars de Saly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guediawaye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diambars de Saly has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Guediawaye scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Diambars de Saly has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guediawaye VS Diambars de Saly
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guediawaye

(Home)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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Diambars de Saly

(Away)
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
08 Jun
Diambars de Saly
0 : 2
Generation Foot
26 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
7 : 2
Diambars de Saly
18 May
Diambars de Saly
2 : 1
Guediawaye
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 26 14 8 4 31:18 50
2 ASC Jaraaf 26 11 13 2 30:12 46
3 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 26 10 11 5 29:15 41
4 Guediawaye 26 9 13 4 27:23 40
5 Pikine 26 9 11 6 20:14 38
6 Sonacos 26 7 12 7 16:16 33
7 US Goree 26 7 11 8 15:17 32
8 Jamono Fatick 26 8 7 11 25:25 31
9 Linguere 26 6 13 7 13:17 31
10 Ouakam 26 7 9 10 22:25 30
11 Generation Foot 26 6 11 9 15:24 29
12 Casa 26 7 6 13 18:29 27
13 Mbour 26 3 14 9 17:25 23
14 Diambars de Saly 26 4 9 13 25:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)