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Guelson vs Primeiro de Maio

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Guelson Logo

Guelson

1 - 0
FT
Primeiro de Maio Logo

Primeiro de Maio

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guelson in this Girabola 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guelson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Guelson
20%
Draws
36%
Primeiro de Maio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guelson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Primeiro de Maio lately — more wins on the board than Guelson.
  • Primeiro de Maio are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Girabola 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guelson Clean Sheet 16%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guelson Primeiro de Maio
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Guelson
4:1
Jan 16, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Primeiro de Maio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guelson 15 / 100
Primeiro de Maio 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guelson Primeiro de Maio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Maio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primeiro de Maio has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Guelson found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Guelson went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guelson VS Primeiro de Maio
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guelson

(Home)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
Page 1 of 6

Primeiro de Maio

(Away)
12 Sept
C.R.D. Libolo
2 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
23 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 1
Kabuscorp
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)