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Guelson vs Sagrada

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Guelson Logo

Guelson

1 - 0
FT
Sagrada Logo

Sagrada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guelson in this Girabola 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guelson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guelson
15%
Draws
34%
Sagrada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guelson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Guelson haven't matched Sagrada's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Sagrada taking it.
  • Regular Girabola 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guelson Clean Sheet 19%
Sagrada Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guelson Sagrada
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Sagrada
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Girabola
Sagrada vs Guelson
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guelson 24 / 100
Sagrada 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guelson Sagrada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sagrada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagrada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Sagrada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guelson scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Guelson VS Sagrada
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guelson

(Home)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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Sagrada

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Lunda Sul
2 : 1
Sagrada
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
22 Aug
Bravos do Maquis
3 : 0
Sagrada
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)