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Guelson vs Sao Salvador

Angola Angola

Girabola 2025/2026
Guelson Logo

Guelson

3 - 1
FT
Sao Salvador Logo

Sao Salvador

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guelson in this Girabola 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guelson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guelson
15%
Draws
34%
Sao Salvador
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guelson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Salvador lately — more wins on the board than Guelson.
  • Model gives Sao Salvador a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guelson Clean Sheet 16%
Sao Salvador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guelson Sao Salvador
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.8 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Girabola
Guelson vs Sao Salvador
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Girabola
Sao Salvador vs Guelson
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guelson 23 / 100
Sao Salvador 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guelson Sao Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Salvador Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sao Salvador's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Sao Salvador's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Guelson's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guelson VS Sao Salvador
0.57 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guelson

(Home)
24 May
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 2
Guelson
20 May
Guelson
1 : 0
Sagrada
16 May
Desportivo Huila
4 : 0
Guelson
09 May
Guelson
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
06 May
Primeiro de Maio
4 : 1
Guelson
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Sao Salvador

(Away)
20 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 0
Cabinda
17 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
06 Sept
Bravos do Maquis
0 : 1
Sao Salvador
29 Aug
Sagrada
3 : 1
Sao Salvador
23 Aug
Sao Salvador
0 : 1
Interclube
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)