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Guerreros de Autlan vs Tigres de Alica

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Velasco I.
84' Event
Martinez Y.
90' Event
Velasco I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Guerreros de Autlan and Tigres de Alica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guerreros de Autlan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Guerreros de Autlan
22%
Draws
60%
Tigres de Alica
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tigres de Alica come out ahead of Guerreros de Autlan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tigres de Alica a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Guerreros de Autlan Clean Sheet 13%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guerreros de Autlan Tigres de Alica
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs Guerreros de Autlan
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros de Autlan vs Tigres de Alica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guerreros de Autlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guerreros de Autlan 19 / 100
Tigres de Alica 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guerreros de Autlan Tigres de Alica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Guerreros de Autlan scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Tigres de Alica has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Guerreros de Autlan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guerreros de Autlan VS Tigres de Alica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guerreros de Autlan

(Home)
12 Apr
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
05 Apr
Guerreros de Autlan
0 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
29 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
2 : 0
Colima FC
21 Mar
Leones Negros 2
2 : 1
Guerreros de Autlan
15 Mar
Guerreros de Autlan
1 : 1
Los Cabos United
Page 1 of 6

Tigres de Alica

(Away)
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
15 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
2 : 0
Tigres de Alica
12 Apr
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Tigres de Alica
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)