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Stadium Background

Guidonia 1937 vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Citta dell Aria, Guidonia Montecelio
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Sub
Di Carmine S. In: Peralta D.
Out: Di Carmine S.
36'
Baroni R.
42' Event
Malotti M.
Assist: Gabbiani G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guidonia 1937
35%
Draws
35%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Livorno lately — more wins on the board than Guidonia 1937.
  • Guidonia 1937 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guidonia 1937 Clean Sheet 20%
Livorno Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guidonia 1937 Livorno
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.92 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Livorno
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Guidonia 1937 vs Livorno
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Guidonia 1937
0:1
Dec 18, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Livorno vs Guidonia 1937
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guidonia 1937 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sannipoli D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Livorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Malotti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guidonia 1937 42 / 100
Livorno 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guidonia 1937 Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guidonia 1937 scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Livorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Guidonia 1937 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guidonia 1937 VS Livorno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guidonia 1937

(Home)
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Reggiana
Page 1 of 6

Livorno

(Away)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)