Sport Picks
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio Raul Conti, Puerto Madryn 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Goiburu E. In: Zapulla I.
Out: Goiburu E.
53'
53'
Sub
Cucchi P. In: Ayala E.
Out: Cucchi P.
55'
55'
Zapulla I.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Guillermo Brown and Santamarina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guillermo Brown.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guillermo Brown
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guillermo Brown carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Guillermo Brown a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guillermo Brown | Santamarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
1:0
May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
4:1
Jul 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guillermo Brown Compare
Top Goalscorer Zapulla I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Santamarina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guillermo Brown 50 / 100
Santamarina 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guillermo Brown Santamarina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guillermo Brown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Santamarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Guillermo Brown remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Santamarina lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guillermo Brown VS Santamarina
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guillermo Brown
(Home) 13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2 Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
16 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
12 Aug
Guillermo Brown
2 : 1 Juventud U.U.
26 Jul
Guillermo Brown
2 : 0 Germinal
05 Jul
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 3
Santamarina
(Away) 13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3 Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
17 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 0 Fundacion Amigos
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0 Santamarina
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Santamarina
12 Aug
Germinal
5 : 1 Santamarina
02 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0 Santamarina
26 Jul
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Mendoza | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Fundacion Amigos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Germinal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Costa Brava | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 9 | Santamarina | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | 6 |
| 10 | Sol de Mayo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
