Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan

Guinea Bissau

0 - 1

Nigeria

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Sangante O.

Own Goal

44'

Ajayi S.

46'

Sub

Mendes C. In: Sanca M.

Out: Mendes C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Nigeria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Guinea Bissau

30%

Draws

47%

Nigeria

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nigeria come out ahead of Guinea Bissau on wins alone.
47% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria taking it.
Nigeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Nigeria here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 12%

Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guinea Bissau	Nigeria
Matches Played	28	41
Wins	5	23
Draws	6	9
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	0.79	1.68
Goals Conceded	1.64	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.56	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

0:1

Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

0:1

Mar 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Guinea Bissau

0:1

Jan 19, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea Bissau 10 / 100

Nigeria 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guinea Bissau Nigeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guinea Bissau scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Nigeria conceded in 59% of 41 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Guinea Bissau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau VS Nigeria

0.25 Goals Scored 2

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea Bissau

(Home)

31 Mar

Burkina Faso

1 : 1

Guinea Bissau

28 Mar

Burkina Faso

5 : 0

Guinea Bissau

12 Oct

Egypt

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

08 Oct

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

08 Sept

Guinea Bissau

2 : 0

Djibouti

Page 1 of 6

Nigeria

(Away)

10 Jun

Portugal

2 : 1

Nigeria

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

30 May

Jamaica

0 : 3

Nigeria

26 May

Nigeria

2 : 0

Zimbabwe

31 Mar

Jordan

2 : 2

Nigeria

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