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Guinea Bissau vs Sudan

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Silva T.
45' Event
Shaiboub Ali S.
45' Event
Quizera F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Guinea Bissau and Sudan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guinea Bissau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Guinea Bissau
15%
Draws
51%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea Bissau haven't matched Sudan's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Guinea Bissau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Bissau Sudan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.79 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Guinea Bissau vs Sudan
2:1
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Sudan vs Guinea Bissau
1:0
Jan 11, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Sudan vs Guinea Bissau
0:0
Nov 15, 2021 World Championship
Guinea Bissau vs Sudan
0:0
Sep 7, 2021 World Championship
Sudan vs Guinea Bissau
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Bissau Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quizera F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaiboub Ali S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea Bissau 46 / 100
Sudan 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Bissau Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea Bissau found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Sudan let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sudan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau VS Sudan
0.6 Goals Scored 0.38
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea Bissau

(Home)
25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2
Guinea Bissau
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
08 Oct
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
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Sudan

(Away)
25 Sept
Sudan
1 : 0
Ethiopia
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
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