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Guinea U20 vs Liberia U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
87' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Guinea U20
15%
Draws
20%
Liberia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Liberia U20 haven't matched Guinea U20's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Guinea U20 taking it.
  • Guinea U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guinea U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Liberia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea U20 Liberia U20
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2022 Friendly International
Liberia U20 vs Guinea U20
3:4
Apr 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Guinea U20 vs Liberia U20
1:1
Apr 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Liberia U20 vs Guinea U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea U20 84 / 100
Liberia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea U20 Liberia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberia U20 conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Guinea U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Liberia U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guinea U20 VS Liberia U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Liberia U20
3 : 4
Guinea U20
03 Sept
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Guinea U20
01 Sept
Guinea U20
4 : 0
Cape Verde U20
28 Aug
Senegal U20
3 : 1
Guinea U20
19 May
Guinea U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

Liberia U20

(Away)
23 Mar
Ivory Coast U20
6 : 1
Liberia U20
20 Mar
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 1
Liberia U20
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
25 Feb
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 5
Liberia U20
23 Feb
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
Niger U20 1
Tunisia U20 4
Ethiopia U20 4
Somalia U20 1
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 1
Guinea U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Botswana U20 1
Zimbabwe U20 2
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo U20 -
Mauritania U20 3
Algeria U20 2
TBD -
Mali U20 -
Sudan U20 1
Kenya U20 1
TBD -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 -
D.R. Congo U20 -
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Lesotho U20 -
TBD -
Mauritius U20 2
Mozambique U20 2
Namibia U20 4
Eswatini U20 2
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
Uganda U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Gabon U20 -
TBD -
Chad U20 -
Angola U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 4
Tunisia U20 1
Ethiopia U20 2
Ghana U20 5
Gambia U20 2
Morocco U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Zimbabwe U20 0
Benin U20 -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 3
Congo U20 3
Mauritania U20 1
Mali U20 7
Sudan U20 -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 1
Nigeria U20 3
Lesotho U20 2
Mozambique U20 1
Namibia U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Egypt U20 2
Rwanda U20 1
Gabon U20 1
Angola U20 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Gambia U20 1
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Libya U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 0
Mali U20 2
Sudan U20 5
Nigeria U20 5
Lesotho U20 0
South Africa U20 5
Egypt U20 5
Angola U20 0
TBD -
TBD -