Sport Picks
Match Events
62'
62'
Bah A.
75'
75'
Soumah A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Guinea U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Nigeria U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria U23 taking it.
- Nigeria U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guinea U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guinea U23 Clean Sheet 22%
Nigeria U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guinea U23 | Nigeria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 23 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Guinea U23 vs Nigeria U23
2:0
Mar 22, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Nigeria U23 vs Guinea U23
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guinea U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Soumah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Nigeria U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guinea U23 29 / 100
Nigeria U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guinea U23 Nigeria U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nigeria U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guinea U23's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Nigeria U23 let in goals in 59% of their last 22 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Solid form: Guinea U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Guinea U23 VS Nigeria U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guinea U23
(Home) 19 Jul
Argentina U23
0 : 1 Guinea U23
09 May
Indonesia U23
0 : 1 Guinea U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0 Guinea U23
07 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0 Guinea U23
04 Jul
Egypt U23
1 : 0 Guinea U23
Page 1 of 5
30 Jun
Guinea U23
1 : 1 Ghana U23
28 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 0 Nigeria U23
23 Oct
Guinea U23
: Uganda U23
10 Sept
Guinea U23
1 : 2 Ivory Coast U23
20 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 1 Senegal U23
Page 1 of 2
Nigeria U23
(Away) 28 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 0 Nigeria U23
22 Mar
Nigeria U23
0 : 0 Guinea U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0 Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1 Nigeria U23
15 Nov
Nigeria U23
0 : 0 South Africa U23
Page 1 of 5
28 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 0 Nigeria U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1 Nigeria U23
12 Nov
Zambia U23
1 : 3 Nigeria U23
05 Sept
Sudan U23
1 : 0 Nigeria U23
20 Mar
Libya U23
2 : 0 Nigeria U23
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1
