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Guinea vs Benin Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mounie S.
Assist: Olaitan J.
38' Event
Guirassy S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Benin in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guinea
30%
Draws
47%
Benin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Benin have won more games recently than Guinea.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Benin have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guinea Clean Sheet 68%
Benin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea Benin
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.08 1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Guinea vs Benin
0:1
Oct 1, 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations
Guinea vs Benin
1:2
Jun 11, 2019 Friendly International
Guinea vs Benin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guinea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mounie S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea 41 / 100
Benin 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea Benin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guinea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Benin let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guinea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guinea VS Benin
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea

(Home)
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
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Benin

(Away)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
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