Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guinea W vs Mali W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2022 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guinea W
40%
Draws
29%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mali W lately — more wins on the board than Guinea W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%
Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guinea W Mali W
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Mali W
0:3
Nov 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Guinea W
7:2
Oct 25, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Mali W
0:2
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Guinea W
2:2
Jun 5, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Guinea W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guinea W 30 / 100
Mali W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guinea W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Guinea W scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Mali W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Guinea W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guinea W VS Mali W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guinea W

(Home)
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Senegal W
2 : 1
Guinea W
26 Feb
Cape Verde W
4 : 1
Guinea W
21 Feb
Guinea W
2 : 2
Cape Verde W
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Mali W

(Away)
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
04 Jun
Burkina Faso W
0 : 0
Mali W
17 Apr
Morocco W
1 : 1
Mali W
28 Oct
Mali W
2 : 4
Cape Verde W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Uganda W3
Ethiopia W2
Kenya W15
South Sudan W1
Eritrea W0
Burundi W6
Djibouti W-
Rwanda W-
Malawi W3
Zambia W4
Tanzania W3
Namibia W5
Zimbabwe W6
Eswatini W1
Angola W1
Botswana W7
Mozambique W0
South Africa W13
Algeria W14
Sudan W0
Egypt W2
Tunisia W7
Equatorial Guinea W-
D.R. Congo W-
Sao Tome and Principe W0
Togo W5
Congo W2
Gabon W2
Central Africa W0
Cameroon W3
Sierra Leone W1
Gambia W3
Liberia W1
Senegal W8
Mali W4
Guinea W2
Guinea Bissau W2
Mauritania W0
Burkina Faso W5
Benin W2
Nigeria W2
Ghana W1
Niger W0
Ivory Coast W20
Final
Uganda W-
Kenya W-
Burundi W11
Djibouti W1
Zambia W1
Namibia W1
Zimbabwe W3
Botswana W3
South Africa W3
Algeria W1
Tunisia W7
Equatorial Guinea W3
Togo W4
Gabon W2
Cameroon W10
Gambia W1
Senegal W2
Mali W1
Guinea Bissau W0
Burkina Faso W7
Nigeria W3
Ivory Coast W0