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Guingamp vs Lorient

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lorient in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorient.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guingamp
35%
Draws
32%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Guingamp haven't matched Lorient's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guingamp a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 13%
Lorient Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Lorient
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Lorient
0:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Lorient
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Lorient
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Lorient vs Guingamp
3:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Guingamp vs Lorient
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 48 / 100
Lorient 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lorient has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Guingamp remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Lorient
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2
Guingamp
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3
Nantes
21 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 0
Guingamp
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Lorient

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
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