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Guingamp vs Nantes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
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Match Events

9' Event
Ben Brahim S.
Assist: Matumona J.
15' Event
Gomis D.
Assist: Averlant T.
22' Event
Younoussa W.
Assist: Guirassy H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Guingamp and Nantes finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guingamp
15%
Draws
34%
Nantes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guingamp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Guingamp haven't matched Nantes's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 68%
Nantes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guingamp Nantes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Nantes
3:3
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Nantes vs Guingamp
1:2
Jul 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Nantes vs Guingamp
0:1
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Nantes vs Guingamp
1:0
Mar 3, 2019 Ligue 1
Guingamp vs Nantes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guingamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomis D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ben Brahim S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Younoussa W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joujou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guingamp 41 / 100
Nantes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guingamp Nantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guingamp scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nantes conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nantes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guingamp VS Nantes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guingamp

(Home)
23 Oct
Clermont
0 : 2
Guingamp
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3
Red Star
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Nantes

(Away)
24 Oct
St Etienne
1 : 0
Nantes
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
10 Oct
Nantes
0 : 0
Reims
19 Sept
Boulogne
1 : 2
Nantes
12 Sept
Sochaux
1 : 0
Nantes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 10 8 1 1 23:8 25
2 Montpellier 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Nancy 10 6 1 3 12:8 19
4 Reims 10 4 6 0 20:12 18
5 Pau 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
6 Red Star 10 5 2 3 13:12 17
7 Annecy 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
8 Metz 10 3 5 2 16:14 14
9 Dijon 10 3 3 4 17:18 12
10 Dunkerque 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 Guingamp 10 3 2 5 13:15 11
12 Sochaux 10 2 5 3 8:12 11
13 Boulogne 10 1 7 2 7:7 10
14 Rodez 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
15 Nantes 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
16 Grenoble 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Clermont 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
18 Laval 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)