Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Koffi E.
12'
12'
Gomis D.
15'
15'
Sub
Ducrocq T. In: Demouchy A.
Out: Ducrocq T.
AI Match Summary
Red Star in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Red Star.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Star
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Red Star have won more games recently than Guingamp.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Red Star have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 15%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guingamp | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Red Star
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Guingamp
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Red Star
0:4
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 2
Red Star vs Guingamp
3:1
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Red Star
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guingamp Compare
Top Goalscorer Koffi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Red Star Compare
Top Goalscorer Durand D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ikanga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guingamp 31 / 100
Red Star 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guingamp Red Star
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Guingamp scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Red Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Guingamp went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guingamp VS Red Star
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Guingamp
(Home) 09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0 Guingamp
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1 Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3 Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1 Annecy
05 Sept
Reims
2 : 2 Guingamp
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1 Le Mans
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3 Red Star
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1 Annecy
29 Aug
Guingamp
3 : 3 Nantes
14 Aug
Guingamp
1 : 0 Boulogne
Page 1 of 3
Red Star
(Away) 19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3 Red Star
14 Sept
Red Star
1 : 0 Metz
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2 Red Star
29 Aug
Red Star
1 : 4 Reims
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1 Red Star
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Guingamp
1 : 3 Red Star
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2 Red Star
21 Aug
Boulogne
1 : 1 Red Star
08 Aug
Nantes
0 : 1 Red Star
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1 Red Star
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Red Star | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Pau | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:6 | 11 |
| 9 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 18 | Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)
