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Guiseley vs Stockton Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Wilson C.
46' Event
Berchil A.
66' Event
Owen E.

AI Match Summary

Guiseley in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guiseley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Guiseley
20%
Draws
24%
Stockton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guiseley lately — more wins on the board than Stockton.
  • Model gives Guiseley a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 68%
Stockton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guiseley Stockton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 FA Cup
Guiseley vs Stockton
2:1
Sep 5, 2026 FA Cup
Stockton vs Guiseley
2:2
Aug 25, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Stockton
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Guiseley vs Stockton
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stockton vs Guiseley
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guiseley Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berchil A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Stockton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guiseley 95 / 100
Stockton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guiseley Stockton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guiseley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guiseley's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stockton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Guiseley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guiseley VS Stockton
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guiseley

(Home)
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0
Guiseley
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2
Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1
Quorn
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
Page 1 of 6

Stockton

(Away)
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2
Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 10 6 1 3 22:11 19
5 Workington 10 6 1 3 20:16 19
6 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
7 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
8 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
9 Warrington Rylands 10 5 1 4 13:13 16
10 Alfreton 10 5 0 5 16:10 15
11 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
12 Lancaster 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
13 Whitby 10 4 0 6 15:26 12
14 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
15 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
16 AFC Emley 10 2 4 4 9:18 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
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