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Guizhou Guiyang vs Changchun Xidu

China China

League Two 2025 Olympic Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guizhou Guiyang play Changchun Xidu in the League Two 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guizhou Guiyang averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Changchun Xidu averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Guizhou Guiyang won 1, Changchun Xidu won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 5, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Guizhou Guiyang and 0.44 for Changchun Xidu. This points to a Guizhou Guiyang double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guizhou Guiyang
35%
Draws
19%
Changchun Xidu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guizhou Guiyang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Guizhou Guiyang picked up more points recently compared to Changchun Xidu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 31%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guizhou Guiyang Changchun Xidu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 16
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.24 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Changchun Xidu
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Guizhou Guiyang
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guizhou Guiyang 48 / 100
Changchun Xidu 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guizhou Guiyang Changchun Xidu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guizhou Guiyang or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guizhou Guiyang attacking → ← attacking Changchun Xidu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guizhou Guiyang scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Changchun Xidu let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Guizhou Guiyang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Changchun Xidu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 22
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guangxi Hengchen30234362:1773
2Wuxi Wugou30197442:1864
3Shenzhen 202830167736:2655
4Chengdu Rongcheng B30149748:2751
5Guizhou Guiyang301551039:3450
6Nantong Haimen301310752:3449
7Shandong Taishan B301212643:2748
8Changchun Xidu301011924:2841