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Guizhou Guiyang vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two Guiyang Olympic Sports Center
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Sub
Abduklim Merdanjan In: Sun Enming
Out: Abduklim Merdanjan
45' Event
Sun Yue
46'
Sub
Pi Ziyang In: Wang Haisheng
Out: Pi Ziyang

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guizhou Guiyang and Jiangxi Lushan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jiangxi Lushan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guizhou Guiyang
39%
Draws
31%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jiangxi Lushan come out ahead of Guizhou Guiyang on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 68%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guizhou Guiyang Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:2
Apr 14, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guizhou Guiyang
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guizhou Guiyang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun Enming
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun Yue
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chen Yunhua
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guizhou Guiyang 41 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guizhou Guiyang Jiangxi Lushan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guizhou Guiyang found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Jiangxi Lushan conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Guizhou Guiyang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guizhou Guiyang VS Jiangxi Lushan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179