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Gulbene vs Olimps Riga

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Virslīga 2011
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Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

Gulbene in this Virslīga 2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gulbene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gulbene
15%
Draws
0%
Olimps Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gulbene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gulbene have won more games recently than Olimps Riga.
  • Gulbene are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gulbene here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Gulbene Clean Sheet 68%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gulbene Olimps Riga
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 3 1
Draws 1 3
Losses 1 26
Goals Scored 2.2 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.4 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Gulbene
1:1
Aug 21, 2011 Virsliga
Gulbene vs Olimps Riga
3:0
Jun 19, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Gulbene
1:3
Apr 30, 2011 Virsliga
Gulbene vs Olimps Riga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gulbene 95 / 100
Olimps Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gulbene Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gulbene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gulbene's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Olimps Riga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Olimps Riga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gulbene VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gulbene

(Home)
18 Jun
Gulbene
1 : 5
FK Karosta
04 Jun
Bauskas / Memele
0 : 3
Gulbene
08 Oct
Olimps Riga
1 : 1
Gulbene
21 Aug
Gulbene
3 : 0
Olimps Riga
19 Jun
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Gulbene

Olimps Riga

(Away)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)