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Gullegem vs KRC Harelbeke

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2025/2026
Gullegem Logo

Gullegem

0 - 0
FT
KRC Harelbeke Logo

KRC Harelbeke

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Gullegem averaging 1.5 xG at home and KRC Harelbeke producing 1.7 xG on their travels. KRC Harelbeke will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Gullegem to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gullegem
33%
Draws
38%
KRC Harelbeke
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: KRC Harelbeke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Gullegem picked up more points recently compared to KRC Harelbeke.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gullegem Clean Sheet 13%
KRC Harelbeke Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gullegem KRC Harelbeke
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

08.02.26 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Gullegem
3:3
16.11.25 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Gullegem vs KRC Harelbeke
0:0
15.12.24 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Gullegem vs KRC Harelbeke
0:2
26.10.24 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Gullegem
5:4
17.03.24 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
KRC Harelbeke vs Gullegem
2:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Gullegem

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • ✓ Dangerous on corners
  • ✓ Overlap on the wings
  • ✓ Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • ✗ Vulnerable to counters
  • ✗ Weak in the air

KRC Harelbeke

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • ✓ Quick recovery
  • ✓ Solid midfield screen
  • ✓ Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • ✗ Fouling under pressure
  • ✗ Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gullegem Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.92

KRC Harelbeke Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
12 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
9 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.84
Avg xA / game 1.23

Availability Alerts

Key Defender KRC Harelbeke • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Gullegem • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper KRC Harelbeke • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Gullegem • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gullegem 29 / 100
KRC Harelbeke 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gullegem KRC Harelbeke

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KRC Harelbeke or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Gullegem will likely press early to force mistakes.

Gullegem 59%
KRC Harelbeke 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

KRC Harelbeke should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Gullegem 54%
KRC Harelbeke 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Gullegem 51%
KRC Harelbeke 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Gullegem to push more players wide.

Gullegem 56%
KRC Harelbeke 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Gullegem 51%
KRC Harelbeke 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Gullegem 62%
KRC Harelbeke 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gullegem attacking → ← attacking KRC Harelbeke

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gullegem have scored in 86% of their home games in the past 12 months.

KRC Harelbeke concede most goals (51%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 23 shots per game, well above the league median.

Gullegem are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

KRC Harelbeke have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Gullegem wants a European spot, while KRC Harelbeke is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 43
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.69
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2