Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Guria host Locomotive Tbilisi in the Liga 3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Locomotive Tbilisi have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Guria have conceded 0.75 and scored 3.25. Head-to-head, Guria have won 2 to Locomotive Tbilisi's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 0.88) point toward Guria. Guria in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Locomotive Tbilisi.
- Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guria | Locomotive Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 3.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Locomotive Tbilisi has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Guria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Guria scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 40:8 | 39 |
| 2 | Guria | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 42:10 | 33 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25:9 | 31 |
| 4 | Gonio | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 5 | Orbi | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Merani Tbilisi | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Didube | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 8 | WIT Georgia | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Khobi | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | 16 |
| 12 | Margveti 2006 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 15:30 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 15 | Betlemi Keda | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:33 | 9 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8:44 | 3 |