Sport Picks

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Guria vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2023 game between Guria and Borjomi finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borjomi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guria
6%
Draws
4%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Borjomi
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 2.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Borjomi
2:1
Mar 14, 2024 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Guria
2:0
Oct 31, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Borjomi
2:3
Jun 5, 2023 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Guria
1:2
Oct 28, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Borjomi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Borjomi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Borjomi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Borjomi
2.63 Goals Scored 0.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
20 May
Guria
6 : 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
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Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)