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Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Guria Logo

Guria

1 - 0
FT
Dinamo Tbilisi Logo

Dinamo Tbilisi

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Chaganava L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guria
20%
Draws
34%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi haven't matched Guria's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guria a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Guria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dinamo Tbilisi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dinamo Tbilisi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.8 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:0
Oct 3, 2018 Georgian Cup
Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:5
Oct 15, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:2
Aug 13, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Guria
3:0
May 9, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Guria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaganava L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Guria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Dinamo Tbilisi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
09 Oct
Margveti 2006
0 : 4
Guria
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -