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Guria vs Iveria Khashuri

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Chaganava L.
41' Event
Zazikashvili S.
54' Event
Kokosadze L.

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Guria
30%
Draws
12%
Iveria Khashuri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Iveria Khashuri.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guria Clean Sheet 68%
Iveria Khashuri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Iveria Khashuri
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 3 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.58 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Iveria Khashuri
5:2
Jun 6, 2005 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Iveria Khashuri vs Guria
3:0
Nov 26, 2004 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Iveria Khashuri
2:1
Apr 30, 2004 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Iveria Khashuri
2:0
Oct 19, 2003 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Iveria Khashuri vs Guria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kakhabrishvili K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chaganava L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Iveria Khashuri Compare

Top Goalscorer Zazikashvili S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 95 / 100
Iveria Khashuri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Iveria Khashuri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iveria Khashuri has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Guria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guria scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Iveria Khashuri
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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Iveria Khashuri

(Away)
17 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
Didube
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
WIT Georgia
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 5
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)