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Guria vs Khobi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sichinava D.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Sichinava D.
52' Event
Sichinava D.

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Guria
15%
Draws
18%
Khobi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Khobi.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guria Clean Sheet 68%
Khobi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Khobi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.58 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Khobi
5:0
May 7, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khobi vs Guria
1:1
Nov 14, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Khobi
4:1
May 19, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khobi vs Guria
1:1
Nov 22, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Khobi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sichinava D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kapanadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Khobi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 95 / 100
Khobi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Khobi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khobi let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Guria found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Khobi
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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Khobi

(Away)
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Khobi
1 : 1
Didube
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Khobi
3 : 2
WIT Georgia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)