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Guria vs Khobi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sichinava D.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Sichinava D.
52' Event
Sichinava D.

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guria
6%
Draws
4%
Khobi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Khobi.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guria Clean Sheet 68%
Khobi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Khobi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Khobi
5:0
May 7, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khobi vs Guria
1:1
Nov 14, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Khobi
4:1
May 19, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Khobi vs Guria
1:1
Nov 22, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Khobi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sichinava D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kapanadze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Khobi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 95 / 100
Khobi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Khobi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khobi let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Khobi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Khobi
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
20 May
Guria
6 : 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

Khobi

(Away)
21 Jun
Khobi
0 : 1
Gonio
15 Jun
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
Khobi
02 Jun
Betlemi Keda
2 : 2
Khobi
28 May
Khobi
0 : 2
Locomotive Tbilisi
20 May
Iveria Khashuri
1 : 4
Khobi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443
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