Sport Picks
Guria vs Metalurgi Rustavi Prediction & H2H Stats
Georgia
Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 
Match Events
18'
18'
Mosiashvili T.
AI Match Summary
The Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 game between Guria and Metalurgi Rustavi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
20%
9%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Metalurgi Rustavi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guria | Metalurgi Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Guria vs Metalurgi Rustavi
1:0
Aug 24, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Guria
0:0
May 11, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Guria
1:0
Apr 12, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Guria vs Metalurgi Rustavi
1:3
Dec 14, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Guria
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mosiashvili T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11
Metalurgi Rustavi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guria 85 / 100
Metalurgi Rustavi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guria Metalurgi Rustavi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guria scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Guria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Metalurgi Rustavi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Guria VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guria
(Home) 17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5 Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5 Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0 Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0 Gonio
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0 Iberia 1999 2
06 Aug
Guria
0 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi
02 Aug
Guria
1 : 2 Dusheti
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Metalurgi Rustavi
(Away) 27 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 5 Locomotive Tbilisi
22 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
13 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 0 WIT Georgia
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
24 Apr
Kolkheti 1913
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
19 Apr
Samtredia
2 : 1 Metalurgi Rustavi
03 Apr
FC Zestaponi
2 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dila Gori | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 50:21 | 64 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 40:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56:28 | 58 |
| 4 | Tskhinvali | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47:37 | 53 |
| 5 | Chikhura Sachkhere | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Samtredia | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:31 | 45 |
| 7 | Shukura | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36:38 | 41 |
| 8 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 39:33 | 41 |
| 9 | Guria | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:43 | 39 |
| 10 | Kolkheti 1913 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Merani Martvili | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 29:33 | 36 |
| 12 | FC Zugdidi | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 13 | Bolnisi | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 32:46 | 32 |
| 14 | Metalurgi Rustavi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:46 | 26 |
| 15 | WIT Georgia | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27:40 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Zestaponi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 40:61 | 26 |
Relegation - Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
