Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guria vs Tbilisi City

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2021 game between Guria and Tbilisi City finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tbilisi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Guria
11%
Draws
9%
Tbilisi City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Tbilisi City on wins alone.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tbilisi City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Tbilisi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Tbilisi City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 3 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Tbilisi City
0:1
Jun 20, 2022 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Guria
1:4
Nov 11, 2021 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Guria
2:1
Jun 10, 2021 Liga 3
Guria vs Tbilisi City
0:2
Oct 10, 2020 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Guria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 76 / 100
Tbilisi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Tbilisi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tbilisi City let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Tbilisi City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
Page 1 of 6

Tbilisi City

(Away)
27 May
Shukura 2
2 : 1
Tbilisi City
01 Dec
Tbilisi City
6 : 0
Zestafoni
24 Nov
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1
Tbilisi City
17 Nov
Tbilisi City
1 : 2
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
10 Nov
Guria
0 : 1
Tbilisi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spaeri26204279:2064
2Kolkheti 191326147554:2849
3Tbilisi City26136746:3045
4FC Tbilisi 202526125943:3741
5Dusheti261241037:3240
6Gori26108833:3338
7Iberia 1999 226108853:3638
8Bakhmaro Chokhatauri2689926:3333
9FC Kolkheti Khobi26613732:3931
10Meshakhte Tkibuli26861231:4230
11Guria26851333:4429
12FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II26841433:5028
13Chiatura26561523:4621
14Didube26351825:7814
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2021 (Relegation)