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Guria vs WIT Georgia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guria host WIT Georgia in the Liga 3. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Guria have averaged 2.9 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against WIT Georgia's 1.76 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Guria have won 0 to WIT Georgia's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Guria. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guria
15%
Draws
34%
WIT Georgia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than WIT Georgia.
  • Model gives Guria a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
WIT Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria WIT Georgia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.9 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Liga 3
WIT Georgia vs Guria
1:0
Nov 25, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Guria
1:0
Sep 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs WIT Georgia
0:1
Jun 22, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
WIT Georgia vs Guria
0:0
Apr 30, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs WIT Georgia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
WIT Georgia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria WIT Georgia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guria's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: WIT Georgia conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS WIT Georgia
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
09 Oct
Margveti 2006
0 : 4
Guria
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 6

WIT Georgia

(Away)
08 Oct
WIT Georgia
2 : 0
Gonio
17 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
WIT Georgia
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2
WIT Georgia
26 Aug
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)