Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gurupi U20 vs Alvorada U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gurupi U20 in this Tocantinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gurupi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gurupi U20
15%
Draws
0%
Alvorada U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gurupi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gurupi U20 lately — more wins on the board than Alvorada U20.
  • Model gives Gurupi U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Gurupi U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Alvorada U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi U20 Alvorada U20
Matches Played 13 9
Wins 4 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.62 0.44
Goals Conceded 2.31 7.11
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Gurupi U20 vs Alvorada U20
4:1
May 5, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Gurupi U20 vs Alvorada U20
10:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi U20 85 / 100
Alvorada U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi U20 Alvorada U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gurupi U20 scored in 85% of their last 13 outings.

Alvorada U20 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 9 outings.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Alvorada U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi U20 VS Alvorada U20
3.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 7
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi U20

(Home)
01 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Gurupi U20
25 May
Gurupi U20
2 : 6
Batalhao U20
17 May
Uniao de Palmas U20
2 : 3
Gurupi U20
10 May
Gurupi U20
4 : 1
Alvorada U20
03 May
Gurupi U20
0 : 4
Palmas U20
Page 1 of 3

Alvorada U20

(Away)
17 May
Alvorada U20
0 : 8
Araguaia (TO) U20
10 May
Gurupi U20
4 : 1
Alvorada U20
03 May
Alvorada U20
0 : 1
Uniao de Palmas U20
27 Apr
Palmas U20
3 : 1
Alvorada U20
13 May
Alvorada U20
0 : 7
Batalhao U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)