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Gurupi vs Bela Vista-TO Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

5 - 0
FT
Bela Vista-TO Logo

Bela Vista-TO

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Souza M.
26' Event
Igor Gomes
36' Event
Alfredo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gurupi in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gurupi
20%
Draws
40%
Bela Vista-TO
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gurupi haven't matched Bela Vista-TO's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gurupi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Bela Vista-TO
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Bela Vista-TO
5:0
Feb 5, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Bela Vista-TO
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tocantinense
Bela Vista-TO vs Gurupi
1:2
Feb 26, 2023 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Bela Vista-TO
1:1
Jan 30, 2022 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Bela Vista-TO
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gurupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igor Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 85 / 100
Bela Vista-TO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Bela Vista-TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gurupi scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Gurupi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Bela Vista-TO
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Bela Vista-TO

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)