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Gurupi vs Nova Conquista Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2021
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

1 - 3
FT
Nova Conquista Logo

Nova Conquista

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nova Conquista in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Gurupi
15%
Draws
26%
Nova Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Conquista haven't matched Gurupi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gurupi a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Nova Conquista
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 9 5
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Gurupi
3:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Nova Conquista
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 85 / 100
Nova Conquista 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Nova Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gurupi scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Nova Conquista let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Solid form: Gurupi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 7

Nova Conquista

(Away)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 7 6 0 1 16:5 18
2 Tocantinopolis 7 4 1 2 15:5 13
3 Palmas 7 4 1 2 18:10 13
4 Araguacema 7 4 1 2 14:13 13
5 Nova Conquista 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
6 Tocantins 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
7 Capital FC 7 0 3 4 3:10 3
8 Gurupi 6 0 1 5 4:22 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2021 (Play Offs)