Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gurupi vs Uniao Carmolandense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

1 - 2
FT
Uniao Carmolandense Logo

Uniao Carmolandense

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jean Bala
27' Event
Gomes Ananias P. H.
45' Event
Lopeu
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gurupi
30%
Draws
37%
Uniao Carmolandense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Carmolandense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gurupi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Uniao Carmolandense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Carmolandense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 18%
Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Uniao Carmolandense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Gurupi
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Uniao Carmolandense
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Uniao Carmolandense
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tocantinense
Uniao Carmolandense vs Gurupi
0:3
Feb 10, 2024 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Uniao Carmolandense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gurupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopeu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Uniao Carmolandense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Bala
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes Ananias P. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 36 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Uniao Carmolandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gurupi scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gurupi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Uniao Carmolandense conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Uniao Carmolandense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 7

Uniao Carmolandense

(Away)
05 Apr
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense
02 Apr
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Tocantinopolis
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Araguaina
0 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 4
Capital FC 3
Uniao Carmolandense 3
Gurupi 2
Final
Tocantinopolis 3
Uniao Carmolandense 2