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Guzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
1 - 1
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Altintas B.
Assist: Erkasap M.
65' Event
Kargi Y.
90'
Kargi Y.

AI Match Summary

Guzide Gebzespor host Erbaaspor in the 2. Lig White Group. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Guzide Gebzespor at 1.57 goals for, 0.93 against; Erbaaspor at 1.03 for, 1.83 against. Head-to-head, Guzide Gebzespor have won 2 to Erbaaspor's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Guzide Gebzespor. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guzide Gebzespor
30%
Draws
28%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guzide Gebzespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guzide Gebzespor come out ahead of Erbaaspor on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guzide Gebzespor Clean Sheet 15%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guzide Gebzespor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Guzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Erbaaspor vs Guzide Gebzespor
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Guzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor
1:1
Sep 28, 2021 Turkish Cup
Guzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor
2:1
Apr 25, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Guzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guzide Gebzespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Altintas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kargi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guzide Gebzespor 30 / 100
Erbaaspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guzide Gebzespor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guzide Gebzespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Guzide Gebzespor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guzide Gebzespor found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guzide Gebzespor VS Erbaaspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guzide Gebzespor

(Home)
05 Oct
Sanliurfaspor
1 : 1
Guzide Gebzespor
27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0
Elazigspor
20 Sept
Isparta 32 Spor
3 : 3
Guzide Gebzespor
12 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
06 Sept
Hatayspor
0 : 2
Guzide Gebzespor
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
5 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
6 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
7 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
11 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)