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GV San Jose vs Real Oruro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Jesús Bermúdez, Oruro
GV San Jose Logo

GV San Jose

4 - 1
FT
Real Oruro Logo

Real Oruro

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
39' Event
Caceres A.
(Penalty)
44'
Sub
Quispe E. In: Villarroel S.
Out: Quispe E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
GV San Jose
15%
Draws
59%
Real Oruro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Oruro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Oruro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Real Oruro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor GV San Jose, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
GV San Jose Clean Sheet 10%
Real Oruro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GV San Jose Real Oruro
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Copa Pacena
Real Oruro vs GV San Jose
1:0
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Pacena
GV San Jose vs Real Oruro
4:1
Jul 11, 2026 Division Profesional
Real Oruro vs GV San Jose
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
GV San Jose vs Real Oruro
3:2
Feb 1, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Real Oruro vs GV San Jose
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GV San Jose Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Oruro Compare

Top Goalscorer Corulo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GV San Jose 30 / 100
Real Oruro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GV San Jose Real Oruro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oruro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Oruro conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

GV San Jose's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

GV San Jose went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GV San Jose VS Real Oruro
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GV San Jose

(Home)
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
04 Oct
GV San Jose
3 : 2
Blooming
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

Real Oruro

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Real Oruro
30 Sept
Real Oruro
2 : 2
Always Ready
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)