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Gwalia United W vs Swindon W

England England

Women's National League South 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gwalia United W play Swindon W in the Women's National League South 2016/2017. Gwalia United W are favorites here. Recently, Gwalia United W averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Swindon W averaged 1.06 goals scored and 4.03 conceded. In past meetings, Gwalia United W won 5, Swindon W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 3, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Gwalia United W and 2.50 for Swindon W. This points to a Gwalia United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Gwalia United W
15%
Draws
18%
Swindon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gwalia United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Gwalia United W picked up more points recently compared to Swindon W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Gwalia United W Clean Sheet 10%
Swindon W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwalia United W Swindon W
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 1.81 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.69 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Gwalia United W vs Swindon W
4:1
Nov 14, 2017 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Gwalia United W
0:6
Sep 21, 2017 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Swindon W
4:1
Feb 19, 2017 Women's National League South
Gwalia United W vs Swindon W
8:0
Oct 6, 2016 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Gwalia United W
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwalia United W 62 / 100
Swindon W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwalia United W Swindon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwalia United W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gwalia United W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwalia United W attacking → ← attacking Swindon W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwalia United W scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Swindon W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Gwalia United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Swindon W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 18
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tottenham W20171258:1352
2Coventry United W20153255:1548
3Gwalia United W20142472:1944
4Charlton W20133455:2542
5Crystal Palace W2096548:2333
6Hashtag W2083929:4227
7Lewes W2074931:3625
8Portsmouth W20521331:6617
9West Ham W20161312:599
10Swindon W20221620:608
11Hounslow W20221611:648