Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021

Gwambina

1 - 1

Mbeya City

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Kibu D.

90'

Mayungu J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Gwambina and Mbeya City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Gwambina

28%

Draws

50%

Mbeya City

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Mbeya City carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Gwambina Clean Sheet 23%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gwambina	Mbeya City
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	8	12
Draws	10	11
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Gwambina

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Dec 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara

Gwambina vs Mbeya City

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwambina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayungu J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kibu D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwambina 24 / 100

Mbeya City 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gwambina Mbeya City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya City let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Gwambina scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Gwambina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mbeya City

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 2.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Simba	34	26	5	3	78:14	83
2	Young Africans	34	21	11	2	52:21	74
3	Azam	34	19	11	4	50:22	68
4	Biashara Mara United	34	13	11	10	28:32	50
5	Kinondoni MC	34	13	9	12	39:27	48
6	Polisi Tanzania	34	10	15	9	29:27	45
7	Tanzania Prisons	34	10	14	10	25:25	44
8	Dodoma Jiji	34	11	11	12	28:31	44
9	Namungo	34	10	13	11	24:31	43
10	Mbeya City	34	10	12	12	30:33	42
11	Ruvu Shooting	34	11	8	15	34:38	41
12	Kagera Sugar	34	10	10	14	34:38	40
13	Coastal Union	34	10	10	14	29:46	40
14	Mtibwa Sugar	34	10	9	15	21:31	39
15	JKT Tanzania	34	11	6	17	34:47	39
16	Gwambina	34	8	11	15	29:37	35
17	Singida Black Stars	34	9	8	17	22:41	35
18	Mwadui	34	5	4	25	24:69	19