Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwambina vs Mwadui

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Meshack I.
83' Event
Roshwa R.
87' Event
Mohamed H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Gwambina and Mwadui finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mwadui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gwambina
15%
Draws
0%
Mwadui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gwambina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gwambina come out ahead of Mwadui on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gwambina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gwambina Clean Sheet 68%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwambina Mwadui
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Gwambina vs Mwadui
1:2
Nov 25, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Gwambina
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwambina Compare

Top Goalscorer Meshack I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mwadui Compare

Top Goalscorer Roshwa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohamed H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwambina 95 / 100
Mwadui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwambina Mwadui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwambina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mwadui conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Mwadui's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gwambina's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gwambina VS Mwadui
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwambina

(Home)
18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1
Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0
Gwambina
23 Jun
Gwambina
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0
Gwambina
Page 1 of 6

Mwadui

(Away)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)