Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021

Polisi Tanzania

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gwambina play Polisi Tanzania in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gwambina averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Polisi Tanzania averaged 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Gwambina won 0, Polisi Tanzania won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 13, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Gwambina and 0.93 for Polisi Tanzania. This points to a Gwambina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Gwambina

28%

Draws

33%

Polisi Tanzania

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gwambina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Gwambina picked up more points recently compared to Polisi Tanzania.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Gwambina Clean Sheet 24%

Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gwambina	Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	10	7
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	0.97	1
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara

Gwambina vs Polisi Tanzania

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 19, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara

Polisi Tanzania vs Gwambina

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwambina 40 / 100

Polisi Tanzania 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gwambina Polisi Tanzania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gwambina or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.5%

3.23

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwambina attacking → ← attacking Polisi Tanzania

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwambina scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Polisi Tanzania let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gwambina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Polisi Tanzania lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 31

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Simba	34	26	5	3	78:14	83
2	Young Africans	34	21	11	2	52:21	74
3	Azam	34	19	11	4	50:22	68
4	Biashara Mara United	34	13	11	10	28:32	50
5	Kinondoni MC	34	13	9	12	39:27	48
6	Polisi Tanzania	34	10	15	9	29:27	45
7	Tanzania Prisons	34	10	14	10	25:25	44
8	Dodoma Jiji	34	11	11	12	28:31	44
9	Namungo	34	10	13	11	24:31	43
10	Mbeya City	34	10	12	12	30:33	42
11	Ruvu Shooting	34	11	8	15	34:38	41
12	Kagera Sugar	34	10	10	14	34:38	40
13	Coastal Union	34	10	10	14	29:46	40
14	Mtibwa Sugar	34	10	9	15	21:31	39
15	JKT Tanzania	34	11	6	17	34:47	39
16	Gwambina	34	8	11	15	29:37	35
17	Singida Black Stars	34	9	8	17	22:41	35
18	Mwadui	34	5	4	25	24:69	19