Sport Picks

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Gwambina vs Simba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hussein M.

AI Match Summary

Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gwambina
15%
Draws
67%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than Gwambina.
  • Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Gwambina Clean Sheet 16%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwambina Simba
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 8 39
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 0.97 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Gwambina vs Simba
0:1
Sep 26, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Gwambina
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwambina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwambina 10 / 100
Simba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwambina Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gwambina scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 30% of 47 recent games.

Gwambina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Simba
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwambina

(Home)
18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1
Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0
Gwambina
23 Jun
Gwambina
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0
Gwambina
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Simba

(Away)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)