Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium

Pohang

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gwangju FC play Pohang in the K League 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gwangju FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Pohang averaged 0.84 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Gwangju FC won 2, Pohang won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Gwangju FC and 1.88 for Pohang. This points to a Pohang double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Gwangju FC

16%

Draws

49%

Pohang

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Pohang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Gwangju FC picked up more points recently compared to Pohang.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Pohang Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gwangju FC	Pohang
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	8	13
Draws	6	8
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.83	0.84
Goals Conceded	1.79	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 K League 1

Pohang vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Aug 10, 2025 K League 1

Pohang vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

May 18, 2025 K League 1

Pohang vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Mar 22, 2025 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Pohang

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

2:3

Sep 13, 2024 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Pohang

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 34 / 100

Pohang 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gwangju FC Pohang

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pohang or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwangju FC attacking → ← attacking Pohang

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwangju FC scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Pohang let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Gwangju FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pohang lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 47

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Seoul	16	11	2	3	28:12	35
2	Ulsan Hyundai	16	8	3	5	23:21	27
3	Gangwon	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Jeonbuk	16	7	5	4	22:14	26
5	Pohang	16	7	4	5	15:14	25
6	Incheon	16	6	3	7	21:18	21
7	Anyang	16	4	8	4	21:19	20
8	Jeju SK	16	5	4	7	14:17	19
9	Bucheon FC 1995	16	4	6	6	13:17	18
10	Daejeon	16	4	5	7	19:18	17
11	Gimcheon Sangmu	16	2	9	5	16:22	15
12	Gwangju FC	16	1	5	10	8:38	8