Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwangju FC vs Pohang

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Lee Ho-Jae
21' Event
Nishiya K.
Assist: Tranziska J.
46'
Sub
An J. In: Cho Sang-Hyeok
Out: An J.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gwangju FC and Pohang finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pohang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gwangju FC
35%
Draws
41%
Pohang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pohang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pohang come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gwangju FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pohang have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 19%
Pohang Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Pohang
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.74 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
May 18, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pohang Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishiya K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tranziska J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 36 / 100
Pohang 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Pohang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohang let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gwangju FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gwangju FC scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Pohang
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5
Seoul
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Pohang

(Away)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
05 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 0
Pohang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 29 10 12 7 36:28 42
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
9 Incheon 29 10 8 11 36:33 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)