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Gwangju FC vs Pohang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Tranziska J.
Assist: Park Chan-Yong
46'
Sub
Hwang Seo-Woong In: Kang Min-Jun
Out: Hwang Seo-Woong
53'
Ri Yong-jik

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gwangju FC and Pohang finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pohang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gwangju FC
35%
Draws
30%
Pohang
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pohang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Gwangju FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pohang have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 68%
Pohang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Pohang
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 3 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
May 18, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Iredale J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pohang Compare

Top Goalscorer Tranziska J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wanderson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 68 / 100
Pohang 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Pohang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwangju FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohang let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Gwangju FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gwangju FC's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Pohang
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
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Pohang

(Away)
09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0
Pohang
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0
Gimcheon Sangmu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)