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Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Yago Cariello
Assist: Bojanic D.
36' Event
Ba Loua A.
Assist: Ha Seung-Un
39' Event
Iredale J.
Assist: Ba Loua A.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gwangju FC and Ulsan Hyundai finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwangju FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Gwangju FC
35%
Draws
50%
Ulsan Hyundai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gwangju FC haven't matched Ulsan Hyundai's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 16%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Ulsan Hyundai
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.68 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai
4:3
Jul 5, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju FC
5:1
Nov 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba Loua A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iredale J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Cariello
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Young-Gwon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 31 / 100
Ulsan Hyundai 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Ulsan Hyundai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gwangju FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gwangju FC scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Ulsan Hyundai
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5
Seoul
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Ulsan Hyundai

(Away)
19 Sept
Anyang
2 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Ulsan Hyundai
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 31 20 5 6 58:26 65
2 Ulsan Hyundai 31 14 5 12 48:44 47
3 Gangwon 31 11 13 7 38:28 46
4 Jeju SK 31 12 10 9 36:31 46
5 Jeonbuk 31 11 11 9 39:30 44
6 Daejeon 31 11 10 10 48:38 43
7 Incheon 31 11 9 11 39:33 42
8 Anyang 31 10 11 10 39:47 41
9 Pohang 31 11 7 13 28:37 40
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 31 5 18 8 30:37 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 31 7 11 13 31:42 32
12 Gwangju FC 31 2 12 17 25:66 18
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)