Sport Picks
Gwardia Koszalin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
Gwardia Koszalin play KS Wierzyca Pelplin in the III Liga - Group II 2018/2019. Gwardia Koszalin are favorites here. Recently, Gwardia Koszalin averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. KS Wierzyca Pelplin averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. In past meetings, Gwardia Koszalin won 3, KS Wierzyca Pelplin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 29, 2019 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Gwardia Koszalin and 1.31 for KS Wierzyca Pelplin. This points to a Gwardia Koszalin double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Gwardia Koszalin picked up more points recently compared to KS Wierzyca Pelplin.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gwardia Koszalin | KS Wierzyca Pelplin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gwardia Koszalin scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
KS Wierzyca Pelplin let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Gwardia Koszalin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
KS Wierzyca Pelplin lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 86:33 | 75 |
| 2 | KKS Kalisz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70:37 | 69 |
| 3 | Stezyca | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 75:37 | 69 |
| 4 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 70:41 | 68 |
| 5 | KS Mieszko Gniezno | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 74:53 | 61 |
| 6 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 59:44 | 60 |
| 7 | Swit Szczecin | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:33 | 58 |
| 8 | B. Gdynia | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 59:50 | 57 |
| 9 | Kleczew | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48:50 | 53 |
| 10 | Starogard Gdanski | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 56:37 | 51 |
| 11 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 52:59 | 45 |
| 12 | Gornik Konin | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 46:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Baltyk Koszalin | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 57:75 | 40 |
| 14 | Jarocin | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:50 | 38 |
| 15 | Gwardia Koszalin | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 35:71 | 33 |
| 16 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 38:66 | 30 |
| 17 | KS Wierzyca Pelplin | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 34:81 | 14 |
| 18 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 20:93 | 8 |