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Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ferrante R.
64' Event
Iuliano D.
66' Event
Morrison K.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Gwelup Croatia SC and Subiaco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwelup Croatia SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gwelup Croatia SC
20%
Draws
57%
Subiaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Subiaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwelup Croatia SC haven't matched Subiaco's recent run of results.
  • Subiaco are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 15%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC Subiaco
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.61 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco
2:1
May 16, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC
5:1
Jul 26, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco
0:1
May 10, 2025 WA State League
Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:4
Jun 22, 2024 WA State League
Subiaco vs Gwelup Croatia SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrante R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iuliano D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Morrison K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 27 / 100
Subiaco 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC Subiaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwelup Croatia SC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Subiaco has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Gwelup Croatia SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwelup Croatia SC VS Subiaco
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwelup Croatia SC

(Home)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
18 Aug
Kingsley Westside
4 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0
Gwelup Croatia SC
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
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Subiaco

(Away)
12 Sept
Balga SC
3 : 4
Subiaco
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)