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Stadium Background

Gyeongju KHNP vs Siheung Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Gyeongju Civic Stadium, Gyeongju
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Ribeiro V.
90'
Joo Han-Sung
90'
Kim H.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Gyeongju KHNP and Siheung Citizen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gyeongju KHNP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gyeongju KHNP
15%
Draws
46%
Siheung Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP haven't matched Siheung Citizen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Siheung Citizen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 20%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Siheung Citizen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Siheung Citizen
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:0
May 3, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Siheung Citizen
2:3
Sep 1, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongju KHNP Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Siheung Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 24 / 100
Siheung Citizen 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Siheung Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyeongju KHNP scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Siheung Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Gyeongju KHNP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongju KHNP VS Siheung Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongju KHNP

(Home)
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
25 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 0
Siheung Citizen
15 Jul
Cheongju
4 : 0
Gyeongju KHNP
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Siheung Citizen

(Away)
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
29 Jul
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1
Siheung Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)