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Gyeongnam vs Chungnam Asan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Changwon Football Centre Stadium, Changwon
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gyeongnam host Chungnam Asan in the K League 2. This one's hard to separate. Chungnam Asan have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Gyeongnam have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.17. Head-to-head, Gyeongnam have won 0 to Chungnam Asan's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.00) back Chungnam Asan to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gyeongnam
30%
Draws
28%
Chungnam Asan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gyeongnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chungnam Asan lately — more wins on the board than Gyeongnam.
  • Win probability leans Gyeongnam's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gyeongnam Clean Sheet 20%
Chungnam Asan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongnam Chungnam Asan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
2:2
May 17, 2025 K League 2
Gyeongnam vs Chungnam Asan
1:3
Sep 1, 2024 K League 2
Chungnam Asan vs Gyeongnam
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongnam 49 / 100
Chungnam Asan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongnam Chungnam Asan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyeongnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gyeongnam remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gyeongnam scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Chungnam Asan conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongnam VS Chungnam Asan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongnam

(Home)
20 Sept
Yongin FC
0 : 0
Gyeongnam
13 Sept
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Seongnam
29 Aug
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
23 Aug
Cheongju
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
15 Aug
Gimhae
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
Page 1 of 6

Chungnam Asan

(Away)
19 Sept
Chungnam Asan
3 : 1
Cheonan City
12 Sept
Chungnam Asan
0 : 1
Cheongju
06 Sept
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 0
Chungnam Asan
23 Aug
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1
Yongin FC
19 Aug
Chungnam Asan
2 : 3
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 26 14 9 3 51:29 51
3 Seoul E-Land 27 15 6 6 46:30 51
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 27 12 8 7 41:28 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Cheongju 27 6 14 7 34:42 32
11 Seongnam 26 7 10 9 29:33 31
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)