Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Gyeongnam

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yeoju Citizen play Gyeongnam in the Korean Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yeoju Citizen averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Gyeongnam averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Yeoju Citizen won 4, Gyeongnam won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Yeoju Citizen and 1.06 for Gyeongnam. This points to a Yeoju Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Yeoju Citizen

25%

Draws

37%

Gyeongnam

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Yeoju Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Gyeongnam.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 22%

Gyeongnam Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yeoju Citizen	Gyeongnam
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.32	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Korean Cup

Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongnam

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Apr 12, 2025 Korean Cup

Gyeongnam vs Yeoju Citizen

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Mar 12, 2025 Korean Cup

Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongnam

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3-1

Feb 12, 2025 Korean Cup

Gyeongnam vs Yeoju Citizen

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Jan 12, 2025 Korean Cup

Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongnam

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 39 / 100

Gyeongnam 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yeoju Citizen Gyeongnam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yeoju Citizen or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yeoju Citizen attacking → ← attacking Gyeongnam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Gyeongnam let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Yeoju Citizen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gyeongnam lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 36

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38