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Gyor vs Karpaty Lviv

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gyor play Karpaty Lviv in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gyor averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Karpaty Lviv averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Gyor won 1, Karpaty Lviv won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 17, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Gyor and 1.00 for Karpaty Lviv. This points to a Gyor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gyor
22%
Draws
25%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gyor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Gyor picked up more points recently compared to Karpaty Lviv.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Gyor Clean Sheet 23%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyor Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Gyor vs Karpaty Lviv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bumba C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitalis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyor 52 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyor Karpaty Lviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Gyor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gyor attacking → ← attacking Karpaty Lviv

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyor scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gyor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Karpaty Lviv lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 37
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75