Sport Picks

Malta

FA Trophy 2022/2023 Empire Stadium (Closed 1981)

Qala Saints

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gzira play Qala Saints in the FA Trophy 2022/2023. Gzira are favorites here. Recently, Gzira averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Qala Saints averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. In past meetings, Gzira won 1, Qala Saints won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Gzira and 1.19 for Qala Saints. This points to a Gzira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Gzira

15%

Draws

23%

Qala Saints

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gzira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Gzira picked up more points recently compared to Qala Saints.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Gzira Clean Sheet 20%

Qala Saints Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gzira	Qala Saints
Matches Played	34	17
Wins	17	5
Draws	7	0
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.21	2.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 FA Trophy

Gzira vs Qala Saints

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Borg B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mentz G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Qala Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gzira 60 / 100

Qala Saints 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gzira Qala Saints

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gzira Win (1)

Secondary Pick Gzira & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gzira attacking → ← attacking Qala Saints

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gzira scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Qala Saints let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gzira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Qala Saints lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 15

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00